Thursday, 22 August 2019

probability - Expected Value Of Dice Rolling Game

I am having trouble figuring out the expected value in situations were the examples are going to infinity.



Example:



I have a fair dice with 8 sides. I keep a counter (k) of the rounds I play. Each round I increase the counter by 1 and I roll the die. I keep doing this until I roll a 1 or an 8.




So I'll define a random variable X to be the amount of rounds played. I know that the odds of rolling a 1 or a 8 on a 8 sided die is 14 otherwise it is 34. The way I am trying to solve the expected value is by using a geometric series. This is where I am getting stuck I think it should look like this:



E(X)=X1P1+X2P2+X3P3+...+XnPn



E(X)=114+214+314+...+n14



I am unsure how to turn this into a sum.

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