Theorem SMP (Strong Markov Property)
Let X be a time homogenous Markov process with T=R+ or
Z+ and let τ be a stopping time taking countably many
values. Then P[θτX∈A∣Fτ]a.s on {τ<∞}=PXτ(X∈A)
Assume from now on T=Z+ and that X is canonical. Define the first hitting time of state y as τ=inf{n≥0:Xn=y}. Now define recursively τk+1y=τky+τy∘θτky,k≥0
starting from τ0y=0.
Why does the SMP imply the following equality?Px{τky<∞,τy∘θτky}=Px{τky<∞}Py{τy<∞}
Answer
The missing step has nothing in particular to do with Markov processes - it uses the decomposition P(A∩B)=P(B∣A)P(A). Thus Px{τky<∞,τy∘θτky}=Px{τy∘θτky∣τky<∞}Px{τky<∞}=Px{τky<∞}Py{τy<∞}
where the strong Markov property is used in the final transition.
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