Let X be a bounded random variable, i.e., |X|≤a.
Can we find
g(c)=E[Xe−(X−c)22]E[e−(X−c)22]
How to find the following limit
lim
I tried L'Hopital rule but it did not work out.
Answer
The intuition comes from the special case where X is discrete and takes only finitely many values with probability 1. Indeed, assume that x_1 < \cdots x_n and p_i := \Bbb{P}(X = x_i) > 0 for each i = 1, \cdots, n and p_1 + \cdots + p_n = 1. Then
g(c) = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i p_i e^{-(c-x_i)^2/2}}{\sum_{i=1}^{n} p_i e^{-(c-x_i)^2/2}} \xrightarrow[\ c\to\infty \ ]{} x_n = \operatorname{esssup}X.
For general cases, let \alpha < \beta < \operatorname{esssup}X and consider
M(c) = \Bbb{E}[e^{-(X-c)^2/2} \mathbf{1}_{\{X > \alpha\}} ] \quad \text{and} \quad m(c) = \Bbb{E}[e^{-(X-c)^2/2} \mathbf{1}_{\{X \leq \alpha\}} ].
We assume c > a WLOG so that x \mapsto e^{-(x-c)^2/2} is increasing on [-a, a]. Then from the following simple estimates
M(c) \geq \Bbb{E}[e^{-(X-c)^2/2} \mathbf{1}_{\{X \geq \beta\}} ] \geq e^{-(\beta-c)^2/2} \Bbb{P}(X \geq \beta) \quad \text{and} \quad m(c) \leq e^{-(\alpha-c)^2/2}
we easily find that
\frac{m(c)}{M(c)} \leq \frac{e^{(\beta^2-\alpha^2)/2}}{\Bbb{P}(X \geq \beta)} e^{-c(\beta-\alpha)} \xrightarrow[ \ c \to \infty \ ]{} 0.
Now by writing
g(c) = \frac{\Bbb{E}[X e^{-(X-c)^2/2} \mathbf{1}_{\{X > \alpha\}}] + \Bbb{E}[X e^{-(X-c)^2/2} \mathbf{1}_{\{X \leq \alpha\}}]}{\Bbb{E}[e^{-(X-c)^2/2} \mathbf{1}_{\{X > \alpha\}}] + \Bbb{E}[e^{-(X-c)^2/2} \mathbf{1}_{\{X \leq \alpha\}}]} \geq \frac{\alpha M(c) - a m(c)}{M(c) + m(c)}
it follows that
\alpha \leq \liminf_{c\to\infty} g(c) \leq \limsup_{c\to\infty} g(c) \leq \operatorname{esssup} X.
Taking \alpha \uparrow \operatorname{esssup}X completes the proof.
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