Wednesday, 12 July 2017

probability - Conditional Expectation on Random Variable



In our lecture notes, X and Y are random variable. From what I understand E[Y|X] is an Fx measurable random variable. In our lecture notes the formula for the conditional expectation was written as:



(1) E[Y|X]=y  dFy|x  dy



but I argue that it should be:



(2) E[Y|X]=y  dFy|x  dx




because E[Y|X]=g(X) where g is some function of x. Or is it (1) because once we integrate over y we are left with a function only dependent on x.


Answer



You are right that the expectation should be some function g(x). To get this equation, you integrate equation (1) over y to get a function that depends on x. In other words,
E[Y|X]=g(X)=ydFY|X.


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