Tuesday, 2 April 2019

Probability of Weighted Dice

A game uses a 12-sided die which is rolled once. Each of the faces are labelled 1-12. The dice is weighted so it is four times as likely to roll a 6, and twice as likely to roll an 8, 10 or 12.



The game costs $20 to play.



If an even number is rolled, the player wins 30 dollars.



If a multiple of 3 is rolled, the player wins 40 dollars.



If any other number is rolled, they player loses the bet.





  1. What is the probability of winning:



    a. Exactly 30 dollars



    b. Exactly 40 dollars


  2. What is the expected return for each roll of the die?




I have calculated that the probability of rolling a 6 is 2/9.




The probability of rolling an 8, 10 or 12 is 1/9 each.



I do not know how to find the probability of winning EXACTLY 30 and 40 dollars, along with the expected return per roll.



Thanks!

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