Friday, 21 August 2015

The probability of a single dice Vs many dice



Say I have a fair six sided die. I throw 6 times. What's the probability the result will be 1,2,3,4,5,6 in that order?




And imagine I have 6 die and threw them at the same time. What's the probability that I'll get those numbers 1,2,3,4,5,6 when I arrange them?



I'm struggling to understand the difference here.


Answer



Case 1: The chance you throw a 1 on the first die is 1/6; the chance you throw a 2 on the second die is also 1/6; and likewise for all 6 of them. Thus the probability you get all these independent events is P=(16)6.



Case 2: You roll the first die and it comes up with some number. The probability that the next ("neighbor") or "second" die is some different number is 5/6. The probability that the third die is a number different from the prior two is 4/6.



Can you continue?



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