I'm trying to prove the following statement: Let (Tn:n⩾1) be a sequence of independent, exponentially distributed random variables with Tn∼Exp(qn), let q:=∞∑n=1qn<∞ and T:=infn∈NTn. Then there exists a random variable N with positive integer values such that P(T=TN)=1. If N=n then Tn<Tj,∀j≠n. Furthermore, T and N are independent, T∼Exp(q) and P(N=n)=qnq.
I'm having problems with this part: Let N=n if Tn<Tj for all j≠n and not defined otherwise. Then for each t⩾0 we have P(N=n,T⩾t)=P(Tj>Tn⩾t,∀j≠n)=∫∞tP(Tn⩾s)P(Tj>s,∀j≠n)ds.
How do I get the last equality?
EDIT: T∼Exp(λ) if its PDF is as defined here. E[T]=1λ.
EDIT 2: I've noticed a problem given later, it goes like this:
Let T and S be non-negative, independent, absolutely continuous random variables with PDFs fT and fS, respectively. Then for each t⩾0 we have
P(T<t⩽T+S)=∫t0fT(u)(∫∞t−ufS(v)dv)du. I guess I should be able to solve the initial problem if I knew how to show that.
Answer
Let A=[N=n,T⩾t]=[∀j≠n,Tj>Tn⩾t]. You write:
Then (...) P(A)=∫∞tP(Tn⩾s)P(Tj>s,∀j≠n)ds.
How do I get the last equality?
This equality does not hold. Actually, P(Tj⩾s)=e−qjs for every s⩾0 hence, by independence,
P(A∣Tn)=1Tn⩾t⋅∏j≠ne−qjTn=e−(q−qn)Tn⋅1Tn⩾t,
Now, P(A)=E(P(A∣Tn)) hence
P(A)=E(e−(q−qn)Tn;Tn⩾t)=∫∞te−(q−qn)sqne−qnsds,
that is,
P(A)=qn∫∞te−qsds=qnqe−qt.
This identity shows the property you state at the beginning of your post.
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