My intuition tells me that $\mathbb{P}(X+k > Y+k) = \mathbb{P}(X > Y)$ should be true, since there (should?) be a bijection between every single result between these two probability distributions. But clearly there's a misunderstanding somewhere here, but I'm having trouble pinning it down.
A counterexample would be:
Suppose $X \sim \operatorname{Bin}(n, 0.5)$ and $Y \sim \operatorname{Bin}(n+1, 0.5)$.
$\mathbb{P}(X < Y) = \mathbb{P}(n-X < n+1-Y)$, since the probability distribution of $\operatorname{Bin}(n, 0.5)$ and $n - X$ should be exactly the same.
Thanks in advance for your help!
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